BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 45 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 132.23
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/29/2019 Home W 132.44 37 23 1B 83 ( 1- 10) Missouri St 0.20 13.80
2 09/07/2019 Away L 131.37 41 65 1A 78 ( 4- 8) Arizona -0.87 -23.13
3 09/14/2019 Home W 138.29 55 21 2 97 ( 1- 10) Western New Mexico 6.06 27.94
4 09/21/2019 Away L 127.70 27 40 1B 19 ( 10- 5) Illinois St -4.53 -8.47
5 09/28/2019 Away L * 133.18 31 49 1B 7 ( 11- 4) Montana St 0.95 -18.95
6 10/05/2019 Home W * 140.16 41 23 1B 68 ( 2- 10) Northern Colorado 7.93 10.07
7 10/19/2019 Away L * 128.37 28 51 1B 6 ( 11- 4) Weber St -3.86 -19.14
8 10/26/2019 Home W * 136.61 31 29 1B 39 ( 5- 7) Portland St 4.38 -2.38
9 11/02/2019 Away L * 118.20 38 66 1B 9 ( 7- 5) Eastern Washington -14.03 -13.97
10 11/09/2019 Home L * 147.33 34 38 1B 4 ( 9- 4) Sacramento St 15.10 -19.10
11 11/16/2019 Away L * 127.18 30 31 1B 62 ( 3- 9) Southern Utah -5.05 4.05
12 11/23/2019 Home L * 125.97 53 60 1B 27 ( 5- 7) Idaho -6.27 -0.73
Averages 132.23 37.2 41.3
Best game: 147.33 = 4 point loss to Sacramento St
Worst game: 118.20 = 28 point loss to Eastern Washington
Team stdev: 7.66